FK Ufa 1-0 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.15/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.36
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shinnik
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.09.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
19.03.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-2 HT 0-2 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
1-0
AWAY Shinnik
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa nicked a narrow win over Shinnik 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day FK Ufa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, FK Ufa had 47% of the ball to Shinnik's 53%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shinnik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Ufa and 2.00 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Shinnik?

FK Ufa 1-0 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 38%, draw 27%, Shinnik 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Ufa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Ufa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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