Sokol Saratov 1-2 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 49%
-16% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.56/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.95
-45% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 3-0 HT 1-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
08.05.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-0 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
17.09.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 5-3 HT 4-1 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-2
AWAY Chernomorets
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets edged past Sokol Saratov 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chernomorets as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 38% of the ball to Chernomorets's 62%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chernomorets led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sokol Saratov and 2.67 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Chernomorets?

Sokol Saratov 1-2 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 25%, draw 31%, Chernomorets 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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