Chernomorets 3-0 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 23%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.98/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.59
+27% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-0 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
17.09.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 5-3 HT 4-1 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
3-0
AWAY Sokol Saratov
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets cruised past Sokol Saratov 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chernomorets as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chernomorets had 57% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 43%, shots finished 20-2.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chernomorets had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Chernomorets and 1.50 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Sokol Saratov?

Chernomorets 3-0 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 47%, draw 30%, Sokol Saratov 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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