Chayka 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 49%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
2.01/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.73
+109% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUK
20.03.2021 Chayka Chayka 0-1 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
23.09.2020 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
03.11.2019 Chayka Chayka 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
0-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Chayka vs Baltika Kaliningrad
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Baltika Kaliningrad edged past Chayka 1-0 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 29 Sep 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Chayka had 54% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 46%, shots finished 5-14.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chayka and 1.00 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Chayka 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - FNL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chayka 29%, draw 31%, Baltika Kaliningrad 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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