Sparta Prag 4-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
30%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.01/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.50
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.6 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Karvina
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.87 xG 0.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
446 Passes 177
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
27.08.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-1 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
04.12.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
07.08.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.02.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-3 HT 3-2 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
13.09.2020 Karvina Karvina 2-5 HT 2-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
4-1
AWAY Karvina
2.64 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
29 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
207 Passes 320
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag cruised past Karvina 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 43% of the ball to Karvina's 57%, shots finished 29-11, expected goals 2.64 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.17 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Karvina?

Sparta Prag 4-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 62%, draw 20%, Karvina 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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