Chesham United 1-3 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.69
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.01/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.68
-34% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
1-3
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch beat Chesham United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day AFC Hornchurch made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chesham United had 55% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 45%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Chesham United 1-3 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 37%, draw 31%, AFC Hornchurch 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesham United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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