Salisbury 0-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Dec 2024

Salisbury
0-2 HT 0-1
Worthing
📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Salisbury vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 28% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.6pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salisbury v Worthing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 43%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
0.79/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.61
-40% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Salisbury 0-2 Worthing — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
0-2
AWAY Worthing
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing saw off Salisbury 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salisbury at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Salisbury had 39% of the ball to Worthing's 61%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Worthing?

Salisbury 0-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 41%, draw 26%, Worthing 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salisbury) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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