Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alloa Athletic v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals
Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
1-2
HT 1-1
Alloa Athletic
İK1
1-2
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
1-1
HT 0-1
Alloa Athletic
İK1
0-1
HT 0-0
Alloa Athletic
İK1
Alloa Athletic and Dumbarton shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.67 for Dumbarton.
What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Alloa Athletic 2-2 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 46%, draw 23%, Dumbarton 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.