Dumbarton 3-3 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

Dumbarton
3-3 HT 1-2
Alloa Athletic
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
15%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dumbarton v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.61/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.29
+5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
02.04.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-3 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
19.02.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
20.11.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
25.09.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
13.05.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.05.2018 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton and Alloa Athletic shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dumbarton and 1.17 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic?

Dumbarton 3-3 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 31%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 44%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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