Kelty Hearts 2-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

Kelty Hearts
2-0 HT 1-0
Stenhousemuir
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
14%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.22/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.57
-25% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
The Meetings
26.03.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
08.03.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
20.11.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
28.08.2021 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-4 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts got the better of Stenhousemuir 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kelty Hearts found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kelty Hearts and 0.25 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?

Kelty Hearts 2-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 39%, draw 27%, Stenhousemuir 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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