Mallorca 1-5 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
9.2
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
8%
18.6
X/1
8%
11.8
X/2
21%
4.3
X/X
9%
6.11
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.25
2/X
8%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.84/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.12
-25% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
17.8 Crosses 14.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Barcelona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.72 xG 1.80
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
202 Passes 580
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
26.09.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 2-2 HT 2-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
28.05.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 3-0 HT 2-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
01.10.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
01.05.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 2-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
02.01.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-5
AWAY Barcelona
0.94 xG 5.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
239 Passes 416
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona cruised past Mallorca 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mallorca had 40% of the ball to Barcelona's 60%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.94 to 5.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mallorca and 1.67 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Barcelona?

Mallorca 1-5 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 26%, draw 26%, Barcelona 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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