Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
27%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
14%
7.29
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
13%
5.53
X/2
11%
5.12
X/X
24%
3.14
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.17
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
37%
Draw
33%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
35%
-7.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -22%
0.92/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.07
-30% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.4 Crosses 21.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
293 Passes 360
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
2-1
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.08 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
247 Passes 322
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia nicked a narrow win over Argentinos Juniors 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 37% / 27% — and on the day Independiente Rivadavia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 44% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 56%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.08 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors?

Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 36%, draw 37%, Argentinos Juniors 27%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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