Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.0
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.7
X/1
17%
3.51
X/2
12%
10.6
X/X
15%
4.09
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
10%
9.9
2/X
8%
19.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.50/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.38
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 64%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
22.3 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
2-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.61 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
360 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors edged past Independiente Rivadavia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 55% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 45%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.61 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 45%, draw 28%, Independiente Rivadavia 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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