Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Feb 2024

Defensa y Justicia
1-1 HT 1-1
Central Cordoba Santiago
📅21/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Central Cordoba Santiago Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 33% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.12
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.95
X/1
18%
3.73
X/2
6%
10.1
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
9%
8.45
2/X
5%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Central Cordoba Santiago — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.73/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.40
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.3 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Defensa y Justicia vs Central Cordoba Santiago Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
388 Passes 187
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 2-1 HT 2-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
09.04.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-2 HT 0-1 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
08.08.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
04.09.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
29.11.2020 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-3 HT 1-2 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
10.11.2020 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 2-2 HT 2-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Central Cordoba Santiago — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-1
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
0.91 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
303 Passes 218
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia and Central Cordoba Santiago couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Defensa y Justicia at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 56% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 44%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.91 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Cordoba Santiago led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 1.83 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 51%, draw 27%, Central Cordoba Santiago 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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