Radnik Bijeljina 2-3 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+5.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.3pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Bijeljina EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 69%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.60/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.17
-26% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -52%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Bijeljina
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
06.05.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
15.08.2021 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-1 HT 2-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
23.05.2021 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
02.12.2020 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-1 HT 0-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
31.08.2020 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Bijeljina
2-3
AWAY FK Sarajevo
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo nicked a narrow win over Radnik Bijeljina 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Radnik Bijeljina had 45% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 55%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Radnik Bijeljina and 2.00 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?

Radnik Bijeljina 2-3 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Radnik Bijeljina 20%, draw 20%, FK Sarajevo 59%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
3 Dec 2024
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