Dewa United 2-1 PSS Sleman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
59%
-18.5pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.47/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.59
+38% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
362 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY PSS Sleman
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.04.2024 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 2-3 HT 1-1 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
04.09.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dewa United
2-1
AWAY PSS Sleman
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs PSS Sleman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United nicked a narrow win over PSS Sleman 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Dewa United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dewa United had 54% of the ball to PSS Sleman's 46%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dewa United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dewa United and 1.00 for PSS Sleman.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs PSS Sleman?

Dewa United 2-1 PSS Sleman in the Indonesia League 1 on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs PSS Sleman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 40%, draw 30%, PSS Sleman 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dewa United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dewa United) ✗ Under 2.5
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