PSS Sleman 2-3 Dewa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dewa United EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.39/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.51
+2% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSS Sleman
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dewa United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
04.09.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSS Sleman vs Dewa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United edged past PSS Sleman 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dewa United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of PSS Sleman vs Dewa United?

PSS Sleman 2-3 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSS Sleman vs Dewa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSS Sleman win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split PSS Sleman 36%, draw 28%, Dewa United 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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