Persib Bandung 3-1 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 20 Apr 2024

Persib Bandung
3-1 HT 1-0
Persebaya Surabaya
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Persib Bandung v Persebaya Surabaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.90/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.36
+0% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persib Bandung
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
284 Passes 292
The Meetings
10.12.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
19.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 0-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
08.12.2021 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 0-3 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
18.10.2019 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 4-1 HT 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persib Bandung saw off Persebaya Surabaya 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persib Bandung as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Persib Bandung had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Persib Bandung and 1.50 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persib Bandung 3-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persib Bandung win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Persib Bandung 54%, draw 25%, Persebaya Surabaya 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persib Bandung), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persib Bandung) ✓ Over 2.5
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