Hollanda (K) 1-2 ABD (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
26%
+16.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
35%
Away Win
47%
-12.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.35
+133% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
Crosses 13.2
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY ABD (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 1.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
327 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) KDK
30.07.2021 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 ABD (K) ABD (K) OLİ
07.07.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda (K)
1-2
AWAY ABD (K)
1.54 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
438 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hollanda (K) vs ABD (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) edged past Hollanda (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hollanda (K) had 57% of the ball to ABD (K)'s 43%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.54 to 0.80 — on chances, Hollanda (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, ABD (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hollanda (K) and 1.67 for ABD (K).

What was the final score of Hollanda (K) vs ABD (K)?

Hollanda (K) 1-2 ABD (K) in the Friendlies on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda (K) vs ABD (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hollanda (K) 42%, draw 22%, ABD (K) 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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