Fransa (K) 2-4 İspanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+106% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
248 Passes 428
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2024 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) AVKUL
31.08.2019 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) HAZ
18.09.2017 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa (K)
2-4
AWAY İspanya (K)
1.26 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
317 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fransa (K) vs İspanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya (K) saw off Fransa (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; İspanya (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fransa (K) had 48% of the ball to İspanya (K)'s 52%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.26 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fransa (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fransa (K) and 1.00 for İspanya (K).

What was the final score of Fransa (K) vs İspanya (K)?

Fransa (K) 2-4 İspanya (K) in the Friendlies on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa (K) vs İspanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fransa (K) 36%, draw 29%, İspanya (K) 35%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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