Fransa (K) vs İspanya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fransa (K) v İspanya (K) — Team-Based Signals
Fransa (K) vs İspanya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
İspanya (K)
HAZ
3-1
HT 2-0
İspanya (K)
HAZ
Fransa (K) 2-4 İspanya (K) — Actual Match Statistics
İspanya (K) saw off Fransa (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; İspanya (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fransa (K) had 48% of the ball to İspanya (K)'s 52%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.26 to 1.64.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fransa (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fransa (K) and 1.00 for İspanya (K).
What was the final score of Fransa (K) vs İspanya (K)?
Fransa (K) 2-4 İspanya (K) in the Friendlies on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fransa (K) vs İspanya (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fransa (K) 36%, draw 29%, İspanya (K) 35%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.