Burnley U21 8-1 Birmingham City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.94
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.31
No
41%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.5pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.2pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.4pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.54/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.53
+12% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Birmingham City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.02.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 INGPDL
20.11.2023 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 2-2 HT 1-0 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Birmingham City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 ran out comfortable winners over Birmingham City U21 8-1. Half-time: 5-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Burnley U21 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Burnley U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Burnley U21 and 1.50 for Birmingham City U21.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Burnley U21 8-1 Birmingham City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 54%, draw 20%, Birmingham City U21 25%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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