Belçika (K) 2-1 Ukrayna (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
23%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
75%
-19.8pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
8%
+14.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+81% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belçika (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ukrayna (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.11.2024 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Belçika (K) Belçika (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika (K)
2-1
AWAY Ukrayna (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Belçika (K) vs Ukrayna (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika (K) squeezed past Ukrayna (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belçika (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belçika (K) had 62% of the ball to Ukrayna (K)'s 38%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Belçika (K) vs Ukrayna (K)?

Belçika (K) 2-1 Ukrayna (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika (K) vs Ukrayna (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Belçika (K) 56%, draw 21%, Ukrayna (K) 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belçika (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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