Torreense U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+11.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.51/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.34
-19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense U23
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-4 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 UŞGA
12.03.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-2 HT 0-1 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense U23
0-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 nicked a narrow win over Torreense U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torreense U23 had 61% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 39%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torreense U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Torreense U23 and 0.67 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Torreense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Torreense U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torreense U23 41%, draw 21%, Gil Vicente U23 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Torreense U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torreense U23) ✓ BTTS No
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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