Mafra U23 1-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.97
Over
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.64
No
47%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 The Market 45%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-44% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-3 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
28.11.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-1 HT 1-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-0
AWAY Estrela U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mafra U23 vs Estrela U23
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mafra U23 found just enough to beat Estrela U23 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 31% / 34%); Mafra U23 picked one for it.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.75, about 57%.

By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in Mafra U23's favour, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Mafra U23 against 1.00 for Estrela U23.

Mafra U23 vs Estrela U23 Result & Final Score

Mafra U23 1-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mafra U23 vs Estrela U23 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 35%, draw 31%, Estrela U23 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra U23), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mafra U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
3 Dec 2024
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