Estrela U23 0-3 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.4pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +65%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
28.11.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-1 HT 1-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-3
AWAY Mafra U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 cruised past Estrela U23 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Estrela U23 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 55% of the ball to Mafra U23's 45%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Mafra U23?

Estrela U23 0-3 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 49%, draw 23%, Mafra U23 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Estrela U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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