Portimonense U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
3-1
AWAY Santa Clara U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 saw off Santa Clara U23 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 49% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 51%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.00 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Portimonense U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 30%, draw 28%, Santa Clara U23 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Clara U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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