Shamakhi 1-0 Baku Sportinq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.9pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Baku Sportinq EU Bookmakers 12%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.57/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-43% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Baku Sportinq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi nicked a narrow win over Baku Sportinq 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamakhi as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Baku Sportinq?

Shamakhi 1-0 Baku Sportinq in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Baku Sportinq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 64%, draw 18%, Baku Sportinq 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamakhi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERK More Azerbaijan - Cup
3 Dec 2025
13:00 İmişli FK vs Sabah Analysis →
18:00 Karabağ vs Karvan Evlakh Analysis →