Karabağ 3-0 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
80%
-6.7pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.5pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.66/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Karvan Evlakh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.11.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh AZERS
31.08.2025 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh 0-2 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ cruised past Karvan Evlakh 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Karabağ and 0.00 for Karvan Evlakh.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Karvan Evlakh?

Karabağ 3-0 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 73%, draw 17%, Karvan Evlakh 10%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5
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