Royal Antwerp 3-3 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 34% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.70/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.40
+43% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Truidense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 387
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
24.01.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
11.08.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 6-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
03.03.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
24.11.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
23.04.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp and St. Truidense couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Antwerp at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Royal Antwerp and 0.67 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs St. Truidense?

Royal Antwerp 3-3 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 45%, draw 24%, St. Truidense 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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