Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.63 — our 23% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Union Saint-Gilloise win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-8.9pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 14%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.77/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.77
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
14.0 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
5W-0D-1L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.51 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-4 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
05.02.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-0 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
04.09.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
15.12.2021 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 0-2 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
18.09.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
17.05.2019 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-1
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise edged past SV Zulte Waregem 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 61% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 39%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.83 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 63%, draw 18%, SV Zulte Waregem 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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