Şili (K) 1-0 Paraguay (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONUK, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.88
No
39%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
53%
-16.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
22%
+15.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.8pp
39%
BTTS No
51%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili (K)
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Paraguay (K)
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.41 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
377 Passes 164
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2025 Şili (K) Şili (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) AKUK
15.07.2024 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) 0-5 HT 0-3 Şili (K) Şili (K) HAZ
13.07.2024 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Şili (K) Şili (K) HAZ
23.10.2023 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) PANAMK
05.04.2018 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) AKUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili (K)
1-0
AWAY Paraguay (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Şili (K) vs Paraguay (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili (K) squeezed past Paraguay (K) 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Şili (K) made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şili (K) had 51% of the ball to Paraguay (K)'s 49%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Şili (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Şili (K) and 0.60 for Paraguay (K).

What was the final score of Şili (K) vs Paraguay (K)?

Şili (K) 1-0 Paraguay (K) in the CONUK on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili (K) vs Paraguay (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Şili (K) 37%, draw 26%, Paraguay (K) 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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