Paraguay (K) 0-5 Şili (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Jul 2024

📅15/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
43%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
43%
Away Win
58%
-14.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
337 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Şili (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
105 Passes 354
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Şili (K) Şili (K) HAZ
23.10.2023 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) PANAMK
05.04.2018 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) AKUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay (K)
0-5
AWAY Şili (K)
0.42 xG 2.59
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 6
229 Passes 557
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paraguay (K) vs Şili (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili (K) cruised past Paraguay (K) 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Şili (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Paraguay (K) had 33% of the ball to Şili (K)'s 67%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.42 to 2.59.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Şili (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paraguay (K) and 2.00 for Şili (K).

What was the final score of Paraguay (K) vs Şili (K)?

Paraguay (K) 0-5 Şili (K) in the Friendlies on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay (K) vs Şili (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Şili (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paraguay (K) 31%, draw 26%, Şili (K) 43%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şili (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Şili (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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