15/07/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Al Sharjah vs Lisen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
25%
Draw
25%
28%
Away Win
35%
50%
Under 2.5
38%
50%
Over 2.5
62%
47%
BTTS Yes
66%
53%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Sharjah v Lisen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Sharjah
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lisen
EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
389 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
405 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Sharjah vs Lisen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Sharjah beat Lisen 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Lisen?
Al Sharjah 3-1 Lisen in the Friendlies on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Lisen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 46%, draw 25%, Lisen 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah) — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah)
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
15 Jul 2024