Motagua 0-4 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Dec 2025

Motagua
0-4 HT 0-2
Platense
📅03/12/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Motagua vs Platense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Motagua v Platense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.16/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.61
+11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Motagua vs Platense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Platense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
18.09.2025 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 0-2 Motagua Motagua HON
25.04.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
28.02.2022 Motagua Motagua 2-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense HON
10.10.2021 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 0-2 Motagua Motagua HON
09.08.2021 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 2-0 Platense Platense HON
28.04.2021 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense ran out comfortable winners over Motagua 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Motagua at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Motagua and 0.83 for Platense.

What was the final score of Motagua vs Platense?

Motagua 0-4 Platense in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Motagua 57%, draw 21%, Platense 22%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Motagua), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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