Platense 1-2 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
55%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
55%
Away Win
55%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 60%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.36/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.90
+50% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +5%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
207 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Motagua
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
28.02.2022 Motagua Motagua 2-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense HON
10.10.2021 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 0-2 Motagua Motagua HON
09.08.2021 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 2-0 Platense Platense HON
28.04.2021 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
13.12.2020 Motagua Motagua 5-0 HT 2-0 Platense Platense HON
POST-MATCH Platense vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua nicked a narrow win over Platense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Platense and 2.67 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Platense vs Motagua?

Platense 1-2 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Platense 21%, draw 24%, Motagua 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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