CD Olimpia 2-2 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.3pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
2.00/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.54
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Olancho
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
04.04.2025 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
03.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
15.12.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 3-0 Olancho Olancho HON
12.12.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
25.11.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
20.09.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia and Olancho shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.67 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Olancho?

CD Olimpia 2-2 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 53%, draw 29%, Olancho 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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