CD Olimpia 4-0 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.8
Over 2.5
61%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
52%
-12.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
48%
+12.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
2.28/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.49
+20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Olancho
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.09.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
15.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
18.02.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
19.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.05.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia swept aside Olancho 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.67 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Olancho?

CD Olimpia 4-0 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 55%, draw 21%, Olancho 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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