Olancho 1-0 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
17%
X/1
5%
X/2
27%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
0.58/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.70
-48% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
18.02.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
19.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.05.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
22.05.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
17.04.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho edged past CD Olimpia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olancho and 1.33 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Olancho 1-0 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olancho 26%, draw 30%, CD Olimpia 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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