Vida 0-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vida EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.36/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.96
-2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vida
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
19.02.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 Vida Vida HON
10.08.2023 Vida Vida 2-4 HT 1-4 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Vida vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN nicked a narrow win over Vida 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vida at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vida and 2.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Vida vs Genesis PN?

Vida 0-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vida vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vida win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vida 46%, draw 27%, Genesis PN 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vida) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vida) ✓ BTTS No
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