Juticalpa 1-3 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 62%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.04
-66% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Motagua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
19.09.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua beat Juticalpa 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Motagua?

Juticalpa 1-3 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 22%, draw 23%, Motagua 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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