Motagua 3-0 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Sep 2024

Motagua
3-0 HT 1-0
Juticalpa
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2024/2025

Motagua vs Juticalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.97
Over 2.5
62%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
47%
-8.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
53%
+9.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.2pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Motagua v Juticalpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.67
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Motagua vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua cruised past Juticalpa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Motagua 3-0 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Motagua 60%, draw 21%, Juticalpa 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
19 Sep 2024
00:00 CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM Analysis →
04:30 Genesis PN vs Marathon Analysis →