Genesis PN 1-2 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Sep 2024

Genesis PN
1-2 HT 0-1
Marathon
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Marathon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.23/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.08
-9% / +147% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 5.0

Genesis PN vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Marathon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
09.05.2024 Genesis PN 0-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
01.04.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
02.02.2024 Marathon Marathon 3-0 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
05.11.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
14.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon nicked a narrow win over Genesis PN 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Marathon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Genesis PN and 1.50 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Marathon?

Genesis PN 1-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 32%, draw 29%, Marathon 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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