Genesis PN 0-2 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 9 May 2024

Genesis PN
0-2 HT 0-1
Marathon
📅09/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Marathon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.82/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.13
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.7

Genesis PN vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Marathon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
02.02.2024 Marathon Marathon 3-0 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
05.11.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
14.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon beat Genesis PN 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Marathon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Genesis PN and 1.50 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Marathon?

Genesis PN 0-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 38%, draw 28%, Marathon 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Genesis PN) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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