CD Olimpia 3-3 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒05:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.77/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.24
+9% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Motagua
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
8 Corners 1
22.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
25.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
22.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
18.12.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
23.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
27.08.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia and Motagua couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.50 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

CD Olimpia 3-3 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 47%, draw 29%, Motagua 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
9 May 2024
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