CD Olimpia 2-2 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 22 Apr 2024

CD Olimpia
2-2 HT 0-1
Motagua
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2023/2024

CD Olimpia vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Olimpia v Motagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.73/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
+6% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +40%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

CD Olimpia vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Motagua
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
8 Corners 1
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
22.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
18.12.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
23.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
27.08.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.04.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia and Motagua couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.33 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

CD Olimpia 2-2 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 49%, draw 27%, Motagua 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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