Motagua 0-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Feb 2024

Motagua
0-2 HT 0-1
CD Olimpia
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2023/2024

Motagua vs CD Olimpia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.8pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Motagua v CD Olimpia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
0.80/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.60
-33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +100%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Motagua vs CD Olimpia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
0W-1D-5L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
18.12.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
23.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
27.08.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.04.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.02.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia saw off Motagua 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; CD Olimpia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Motagua and 2.17 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Motagua 0-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Motagua 39%, draw 26%, CD Olimpia 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
25 Feb 2024
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