Real Espana 3-1 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.68/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.94
+30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Marathon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
20.08.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
20.03.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
03.02.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
29.08.2022 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 2-0 Marathon Marathon HON
15.05.2022 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana beat Marathon 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Real Espana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Espana and 1.33 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Marathon?

Real Espana 3-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 40%, draw 26%, Marathon 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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