Genesis PN 1-0 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Apr 2024

Genesis PN
1-0 HT 1-0
Marathon
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Marathon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.67/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.23
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.5

Genesis PN vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Marathon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Marathon Marathon 3-0 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
05.11.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
14.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN squeezed past Marathon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Genesis PN made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Genesis PN and 2.00 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Marathon?

Genesis PN 1-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 37%, draw 30%, Marathon 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genesis PN), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✓ Under 2.5
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