CD Real Sociedad 0-0 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.74
Over 2.5
35%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.6pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.6pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
54%
+11.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
46%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 29%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -26%
1.86/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.86
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
01.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
01.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
01.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.08.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
25.01.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.10.2022 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad and Lobos UPNFM played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CD Real Sociedad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lobos UPNFM led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.17 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Real Sociedad 0-0 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 42%, draw 35%, Lobos UPNFM 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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