Olancho 1-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
20%
2.94
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+12.5pp
20%
Draw
30%
-10.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.53/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.77
-52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
212 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
15.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
18.02.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
19.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.05.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
22.05.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Olancho 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 20% / 41% — and on the day CD Olimpia made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olancho and 1.17 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Olancho 1-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Olancho 39%, draw 20%, CD Olimpia 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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